The first continent-wide dataset on European expert risk perceptions

“Launched in 2025 by the Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies (RSCAS) at the European University Institute (EUI), in collaboration with the European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS), the Trans European Policy Studies Association (TEPSA), and the European Initiative for Security Studies (EISS), ‘Global Risks to the EU’ constitutes the first continent-wide dataset on global risk perceptions among European experts. About 400 respondents rank the likelihood and expected impact of 30 predefined risks affecting EU coherence, unity, security, and prosperity. By operationalising risk as a measurable construct and applying systematic analysis to expert perceptions, the project offers a transparent, comparative, and policy-relevant tool for understanding the threat landscape facing the Union.”

Key findings

Global Risks to the EU — overview chart.
Global Risks to the EU — detailed risk breakdown.
Global Risks to the EU — ranked risk impact.